Bank Stocks Plunge

Morning Scoop

Get ready for more turbulence today as the markets took a turn for the worse and plummeted even further. We were hoping to see some stability at certain levels, but unfortunately, this unpredictable environment just isn’t ready to support any upward momentum in the market. But fear not, let’s dive into the action today and see what opportunities might arise from this chaos.

Markets

XLF daily chart
  • News:Today’s market saw a significant decline in the banking sector as fears of inflation and potential future rate hikes continue to dominate investor sentiment. With so much uncertainty in the air, it’s more important than ever to stay vigilant and stay informed.
S&P 500 futures 1 hour chart
  • S&P 500 futures update:Once again, the markets dipped lower today, shattering the levels we were hoping to secure just yesterday. As you can see, the fake breakout from the white line we pointed out this morning ultimately led to a much larger fall, bringing us down to a crucial support level. This is a clear indication that the current market conditions are volatile and unpredictable. So buckle up and get ready for a bumpy ride as we navigate these choppy waters together.
  • Forecast: The market is currently showing signs of caution, with participants being extremely selective in their choice of investments. Despite some potential breakout opportunities, they don’t seem to be gaining much traction, indicating a lack of market confidence. It’s clear that caution is the name of the game right now, and investors would be wise to proceed with care. As we move forward, it’s crucial to keep a close eye on market trends and stay agile

Chart Analysis

NVDA 15 minute chart
Dissecting a chart

Let’s examine today’s NVDA chart to identify key patterns and gain insights for potential trades. Analyzing market trends can help inform our trading strategy, minimizing risk and maximizing profits.

First glance

At first glance, we can see a current high indicated by the red rectangle on the chart. If the price begins to push up against this level and eventually breaks above it after a period of consolidation, this would be considered a breakout. Some traders may choose to go long from this point, while others may wait for a pullback after the breakout, or simply watch from the sidelines. For the purposes of this analysis, let’s assume that we are merely observing these levels and see what happens next.

Fakeout

After waiting, we now find ourselves in a new situation where it’s unclear whether this is a pullback or a false breakout. Given the current weakness in the market, it’s important to note that the best trades often move quickly. If you’ve taken a long position, you’ll want to see rapid upward movement to confirm your trade, as a slow or stagnant price could indicate that you entered too early or made the wrong call. At this point, it’s crucial to keep a close eye on the chart and watch for any signs of a breakout or reversal.

Slow mover

Despite the initial breakout, the candles on the chart appear weak, and there doesn’t seem to be much urgency for the price to move higher. This lack of momentum is a concern, particularly given the current weakness in the broader market. Adding to our concerns is the fact that the shorter-term moving average has crossed below the longer-term average, which is typically a bearish signal indicating a potential fall in price. However, this can also present an entry opportunity for savvy traders looking to capitalize on potential downward movement. As always, it’s important to approach the market with caution and keep a close eye on any potential indicators of market trends.

Positioning

To position a trade based on these indicators, we would look for a candle to close below the moving averages and set a stop loss just above the high of the day. It’s important to aim for a risk to reward ratio of at least 1:2 to maximize potential profits and minimize potential losses. From there, we can watch and let the trade play out, keeping a close eye on any developments in the market that could impact our position. Remember, trading requires discipline and patience, so it’s important to stick to your strategy and avoid impulsive decisions.

Conclusion

This is just one example of how you can approach chart trading. There are numerous ways to analyze the market and develop a strategy that works for you. It’s important to pay attention to all aspects of the market, including broader sentiment and indicators like moving averages. While NVDA may have looked promising at first, the overall weakness in the market ultimately impacted its performance.

Analyzing your trades and testing your strategy is a crucial part of the learning process. You can’t know for sure if a strategy will work unless you test it. I encourage you to identify ideal entry and exit points, set stop losses and target prices, and see how your trades play out. You can even use paper trading or a demo account to practice without risking real money. Remember to stay vigilant, continue learning, and be patient as you develop your trading skills.

Daily Wrap-up

The market appears to be exhausted with nothing sticking to the upside. Bears are gaining momentum and pushing the market lower. However, there may be a chance for a bounce from a longer support area in the near future. Only time will tell, and we’ll have a better idea after seeing how overnight traders respond. Let’s keep an eye on the market and prepare accordingly in the morning.

Disclaimer

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